A dimensão empírica das probabilidades: determinismo vs. incerteza

Manuel Menezes

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The attempts to control chance are lost in the origin of time. So, in this paper, on the assumption that the art of enumerate and classify has crystallized a way through which was aimed to implement the control of the social body, in a first moment, we seek to show how, from the end of the five hundred century, and with greater amplitude over the next centuries, in England (but not only) the concerns, on the basis of concrete experience, began to focus in the observation and the examination of some population phenomena, in particular the rates of births and deaths, the rates of reproduction and fertility and the ratios between sexes, among others. In a second moment, the speeches and the demographic analyzes developed in the framework of Natural Theology will also be taken into account in order to show how they seek to justify the denial of the importance of chance by using the religious background of his thought.
Original languagePortuguese
Pages (from-to)245-260
Number of pages16
JournalGestão e Desenvolvimento
Issue number21
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2013

Keywords

  • Probability
  • Political arithmetic
  • Natural theology
  • Determinism
  • Chance

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