Assessing the fair value of Fielmann AG
: an equity valuation approach

  • Malte Bernsmann (Student)

Student thesis: Master's Thesis

Abstract

This thesis presents an equity valuation of Fielmann AG as of December 31, 2025. The analysis applies a Discounted Cash Flow model as the primary valuation method, complemented by relative valuation based on a peer group of comparable companies. Sensitivity analyses are conducted to examine the impact of key assumptions such as revenue growth, discount rates, and terminal value estimations. The study further discusses alternative valuation approaches, including the Adjusted Present Value, Dividend Discount Model, and Residual Income methods, but concludes that they are less suitable for Fielmann AG’s business model. The Discounted Cash Flow method yields an implied share price of €60.65, about 7% above the market price as of June 30, 2025, supported by conservative growth and discounting assumptions. relative valuation produces a wide range, but its average of €62.20 supports the Discounted Cash Flow method result. The convergence of methods supports a target price of €61.43, implying an 8.3% upside. Given the limited upside potential, the findings support a HOLD recommendation, while Fielmann AG’s strong competitive position in the DACH region, resilient vertically integrated model, and international growth prospects still suggest an attractive risk-return profile in a volatile market environment.
Date of Award15 Oct 2025
Original languageEnglish
Awarding Institution
  • Universidade Católica Portuguesa
SupervisorJosé Carlos Tudela Martins (Supervisor)

UN SDGs

This student thesis contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
  2. SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
    SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth
  3. SDG 9 - Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
    SDG 9 Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure

Keywords

  • Fielmann AG
  • Equity valuation
  • DCF
  • Relative valuation
  • Sensitivity analysis
  • Peer group
  • Fundamental analysis
  • Forecast
  • Eyewear industry
  • Corporate finance

Designation

  • Mestrado em Finanças (mestrado internacional)

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