Asset allocation

: powered by information correlation flow

Abstract

We propose a new methodology for tactical asset allocation. We allocate by maximizing a power utility function, while switching between the S&P500 and a safe haven asset, the US dollar-euro exchange rate. Also, we use information flows’ correlation as a signal to restrict the opportunity set accordingly. In an out-of-sample exercise, between 1985 and 2013, our signaling methodology is able to yield an annualized Sharpe ratio of 0.91 and an annualized Certainty Equivalent of 17.42%. We are able to the S&P500 which yields an annualized Sharpe Ratio of 0 and annualized Certainty Equivalent of 0.68%.

Date of Award	2013
Original language	English
Awarding Institution	Universidade Católica Portuguesa
Supervisor	José Faias (Supervisor)