Can financial narratives explain residual returns?
: evidence from UK FTSE350 non-financial firms

  • Juliana Gonçalves Machado (Student)

Student thesis: Master's Thesis

Abstract

This study analyses the impact of narrative measures, specifically tone, the number of forward-looking words, and the complexity of annual reports on residual returns. Multivariate models were performed using the annual residual returns generated by the Fama-French 3-factor model and the narrative features of various report sections, including the Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A), CEO Review, Chairman’s Statement, and Operational & Financial Review. Despite the lack of impact of tone of every section on the residual returns, the forward-looking words of the CEO Review and the complexity of the Operational & Financial Review were found to be significant. This highlights the potential for investors to enhance their valuations of companies and make better informed decisions by taking these factors into consideration.
Date of Award14 Jul 2023
Original languageEnglish
Awarding Institution
  • Universidade Católica Portuguesa
SupervisorPaulo Alves (Supervisor)

Keywords

  • Financial narratives
  • Tone
  • Forward-looking
  • Complexity
  • Disclosures
  • Annual reports
  • Residual returns
  • Firm valuation
  • Information asymmetry

Designation

  • Mestrado em Finanças

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