The monetary financing of a large fiscal shock

Pedro Teles; Oreste Tristani

doi:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103630

The monetary financing of a large fiscal shock

Pedro Teles^*
, Oreste Tristani

^*Autor correspondente para este trabalho

Resultado de pesquisa › revisão de pares

3 Citações (Scopus)

15 Transferências (Pure)

Resumo

Motivated by the surge in debt levels through the pandemic crisis, we revisit the issue of the optimal financing of public debt. In contrast to existing results, we find that the optimal response of inflation to a large increase in public spending is a gradual, significant and long-lasting rise in inflation. Our conclusion is due to a different assumption on the source of nominal rigidities. While the literature has focused on sticky prices, of either the Calvo (1983) or Rotemberg (1982) type, we consider sticky plans as in the sticky information set up of Mankiw and Reis (2002). A crucial feature of our results is that a significant inflation response is desirable if the maturity of public debt is (realistically) long.

Idioma original	English
Número do artigo	103630
Revista	Journal of Monetary Economics
Volume	147
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103630
Estado da publicação	Publicado - 1 out. 2024

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Este resultado contribui para o(s) seguinte(s) Objetivo(s) de Desenvolvimento Sustentável

ODS 17 Parcerias para os objetivos

Acesso ao documento

10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103630Licença:

102571019Final published version, 753 KBLicença:

http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/45784Licença:

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Link to publication in Scopus

CUBE: Católica Lisbon Research Unit in Business and Economics
Machado, F. (PI), Aranda, A. M. (Investigador), Costa, A. I. D. A. (Investigador), Martins, A. P. (Investigador), Bernard, A. (Investigador), Fidalgo, A. (Investigador), Reis, C. (Investigador), Abecassis-Moedas, C. (Investigador), Santos, C. (Investigador), Tran, D. (Investigador), Fernandes, D. (Investigador), Bonfim, D. (Investigador), Schliephake, E. (Investigador), Kalogirou, F. (Investigador), Reis, F. (Investigador), Santos, F. (Investigador), Machado, F. (Investigador), Sguera, F. (Investigador), Cerqueiro, G. (Investigador), Reis, H. (Investigador), Barreto, I. (Investigador), Silva, J. (Investigador), Salvado, J. C. (Investigador), Neves, J. C. D. (Investigador), Gijsbrechts, J. (Investigador), Stahl, J. (Investigador), Guedes, J. C. (Investigador), Faias, J. (Investigador), Wagner, L. (Investigador), Correia, I. (Investigador), Saldanha, M. F. (Investigador), Fontes, J. C. (Investigador), Modesto, L. (Investigador), Meira, M. (Investigador), Matos, M. G. D. (Investigador), Gouveia, M. (Investigador), Kozeniauskas, N. (Investigador), Bertani, N. (Investigador), Couzoff, P. (Investigador), Barroso, P. (Investigador), Encarnação, P. (Investigador), Raposo, P. (Investigador), Teles, P. (Investigador), Bastos, W. (Investigador), Bohnsack, R. (Investigador), Vale, R. C. D. (Investigador), Ferreira, R. (Investigador), Lloyd-Braga, T. (Investigador), Ramus, T. (Investigador), Colaço, V. H. (Investigador), Cavicchini, A. (Investigador), Parada, P. (Investigador), Pieters, R. (Investigador), Pinto, F. S. (Investigador), Colaço, V. H. (Investigador) & Venter, Z. (Investigador)
1/01/20 → 31/12/25
Projeto

Citação

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title = "The monetary financing of a large fiscal shock",

abstract = "Motivated by the surge in debt levels through the pandemic crisis, we revisit the issue of the optimal financing of public debt. In contrast to existing results, we find that the optimal response of inflation to a large increase in public spending is a gradual, significant and long-lasting rise in inflation. Our conclusion is due to a different assumption on the source of nominal rigidities. While the literature has focused on sticky prices, of either the Calvo (1983) or Rotemberg (1982) type, we consider sticky plans as in the sticky information set up of Mankiw and Reis (2002). A crucial feature of our results is that a significant inflation response is desirable if the maturity of public debt is (realistically) long.",

keywords = "Pandemic, Fiscal shocks, Inflation, Monetary and fiscal policy",

author = "Pedro Teles and Oreste Tristani",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2024 The Author(s)",

year = "2024",

month = oct,

day = "1",

doi = "10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103630",

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AU - Tristani, Oreste

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N2 - Motivated by the surge in debt levels through the pandemic crisis, we revisit the issue of the optimal financing of public debt. In contrast to existing results, we find that the optimal response of inflation to a large increase in public spending is a gradual, significant and long-lasting rise in inflation. Our conclusion is due to a different assumption on the source of nominal rigidities. While the literature has focused on sticky prices, of either the Calvo (1983) or Rotemberg (1982) type, we consider sticky plans as in the sticky information set up of Mankiw and Reis (2002). A crucial feature of our results is that a significant inflation response is desirable if the maturity of public debt is (realistically) long.

AB - Motivated by the surge in debt levels through the pandemic crisis, we revisit the issue of the optimal financing of public debt. In contrast to existing results, we find that the optimal response of inflation to a large increase in public spending is a gradual, significant and long-lasting rise in inflation. Our conclusion is due to a different assumption on the source of nominal rigidities. While the literature has focused on sticky prices, of either the Calvo (1983) or Rotemberg (1982) type, we consider sticky plans as in the sticky information set up of Mankiw and Reis (2002). A crucial feature of our results is that a significant inflation response is desirable if the maturity of public debt is (realistically) long.

KW - Pandemic

KW - Fiscal shocks

KW - Inflation

KW - Monetary and fiscal policy

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DO - 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103630

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VL - 147

JO - Journal of Monetary Economics

JF - Journal of Monetary Economics

M1 - 103630

ER -

The monetary financing of a large fiscal shock

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CUBE: Católica Lisbon Research Unit in Business and Economics

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